Home Technical Indicator Post

Understanding Signal Direction Probability for Smarter Trading Decisions

Attachments
7620.zip (1.06 KB, Download 0 times)

Hey there, fellow traders! Today, let's dive into a fascinating tool that can help you sharpen your trading strategy: the Signal Direction Probability indicator.

Description:

  • This nifty indicator measures the percent change between past closing prices over a defined period. It then displays this percent change as a signal in the indicator window. Once the percent change is calculated, it also assesses the correlation between the price signal and the percent change. You’ll notice a red line representing the correlation and a black line signifying the percent change.

Now, you might be wondering, why is this important? Well, the correlation gives us valuable insights into potential price movements.

  • In theory, if there’s a strong correlation (greater than 0.7) between the percent change and the price signal, it’s likely that the price will continue in that direction. For instance, if we see an upward price signal and a high correlation (red line), it’s a good bet that the price will keep climbing, generating a buy signal. Conversely, if the correlation indicates a high value while the price signal is trending downward, that’s our cue for a sell signal.

Just a quick heads-up: for the correlation line (red line) to show up, the indicator needs at least two ticks. The first tick calculates the percent change, and the second one computes the correlation between price change and the price signal.

Image:

Signal direction probability

Related Posts

Comments (0)